Is the Las Vegas strip a ghost town yet ?
Las Vegas is the foreclosure capital right now.
4 Responses
William H
31 Jan 2010
zippythejessi
31 Jan 2010
Yeah, we lead the country in foreclosures, and tourism is down, but it’s far from being desolate.
Paco
31 Jan 2010
It doesn’t work like that. Visitor volume is down about 1.5% from last year. They don’t let the rooms sit empty, they just keep dropping the prices until they fill them. A lot of the convention business has disappeared. People come, they just gamble less, eat less, and window shop more.
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The biggest problem is that Las Vegas was in the middle of the biggest building boom in it’s history and was planning for massive expansion. All the new casinos are just starting to open up this year. There is already over 20,000 new, very expensive rooms scheduled to open in the next year and a half. This was after a few years of very small increases in the number of rooms in the valley.
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Historically, from 1989 (when Mirage opened) to 9/11 (end of 2001) Vegas opened an average of 5000 rooms per year for the 13 years. Peak was 13,000 rooms in one year (in 1994 when three or four major casinos opened at once). Since 9/11 growth has been very modest. This year The Plaza, Palms Place and , the Trump hotel, along with a bunch of new hotel blocks has opened. In the next year and a half The Wynn Encore, Alliante Station, the Resort, the Hard Rock expansion, the Golden Nuggest expansion, the "City Center" ARIA complex, the Fountainbleau, and Cosmopolitan, the Vdara Hotel, the Mandarin Oriental , the Harmon Hotel, are all in the process of construction and can’t be stopped. The prospect of all this capacity at once in the middle of a recession is what is driving stocks into the gutter. One $5 billion complex had four building up to the eighth floor and stopped construction and sealed the steel up to resume in the unknown future. That’s never happened before.
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Total rooms in Las Vegas
130,482 Dec 31 2003
132,947 Dec 31 2007
137,690 Aug 31 2008
155,562 just finishing construction underway in next year and a half. That is not counting the Echelon project where they stopped construction halfway through.
lvgeno
31 Jan 2010
Nope .. far from it. With the gas prices dropping the traffic from California is rising again. The foreclosure rate is also a backlash of California since so many of them came and bought condos and houses as investments for the future and now find they can’t afford their California properties and the investments that they can’t sell or rent. If the airlines ever lower their airfares then things will be back as usual. Air traffic is so far down because the airlines have priced themselves out of business so to speak. Fuel prices drop yet airfares remain high. Now they are holding their hands out for government money. If they just competed by dropping airfares people will fly. My guess is fares will remain high until after the holiday travel rush. Things will be coming back to near normal after the first of the year.

Based upon the stock share price of MGM, (under $10), the Las Vegas strip will be a ghost town.